New Mexico Senate Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Ben Ray Luján (D)" at 97.4% on "New Mexico Senate Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Ben Ray Luján (D)
–97%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $27KLiquidity $60KComments 1in 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Ben Ray Luján (D)
97.4%
–
Larry Marker (R)
1.65%
–
Probability over time
Ben Ray Luján (D)
Larry Marker (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
