New Mexico Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 21%+" at 47.5% on "New Mexico Senate Election Margin of Victory". Up 7.0%p from yesterday. $383 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 21%+
▲7.048%
PoliticsVol $383Total volume $10KLiquidity $146Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 21%+
47.5%
▲7.0
Democrat 18-21%
20.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 15-18%
14.0%
–
Democrat 6-9%
7.80%
▲2.1
Democrat 12-15%
7.60%
–
Republican 0-3%
5.60%
▲4.7
Republican 3%+
3.90%
▼3.6
Democrat 3-6%
3.80%
▼0.8
Democrat 9-12%
3.45%
▼1.8
Democrat 0-3%
0.90%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 21%+
Democrat 18-21%
Democrat 15-18%
Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 12-15%
Republican 0-3%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
