New Mexico Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 21%+" at 25.0% on "New Mexico Senate Election Margin of Victory". Down 4.5%p from yesterday. $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 21%+
▼4.525%
PoliticsVol $1.4KTotal volume $4.1KLiquidity $66Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 21%+
25.0%
▼4.5
Democrat 18-21%
23.5%
–
Democrat 15-18%
16.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 12-15%
13.2%
▲5.9
Democrat 9-12%
5.00%
▲2.3
Democrat 3-6%
4.30%
▲1.9
Democrat 0-3%
3.30%
▼1.1
Democrat 6-9%
2.55%
–
Republican 3%+
2.20%
–
Republican 0-3%
0.90%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 21%+
Democrat 18-21%
Democrat 15-18%
Democrat 12-15%
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 3-6%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
