New Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by...?

Polymarket traders put "June 30, 2027" at 62.0% on "New Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by...?". $2.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
June 30, 2027
–62%
PoliticsVol $2.2KTotal volume $2.2KLiquidity $9.6Kin 8 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Nov 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
June 30, 2027
62.0%
–
March 31, 2027
28.5%
–
January 31, 2027
12.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.