New York Governor Election: Turnout

Polymarket traders put "<4.5M" at 25.5% on "New York Governor Election: Turnout". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $7 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
<4.5M
1.526%
PoliticsVol $7Total volume $189Liquidity $26Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Sep 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
<4.5M
25.5%
1.5
5.5M-6M
23.0%
4.0
4.5M-5M
21.5%
6.0
6M-6.5M
21.0%
6.5
6.5M-7M
9.50%
16.5
7M+
9.50%
18.0
5M-5.5M
8.25%
18.0

Probability over time

<4.5M
5.5M-6M
4.5M-5M
6M-6.5M
6.5M-7M
7M+
02550751008/269/69/10
2026-08-26 ~ 2026-09-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.