New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

Polymarket traders put "Green Party" at 59.5% on "New Zealand Election: 3rd Place". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. $462 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 8.

Most likely right now
Green Party
▲2.060%
PoliticsVol $462Total volume $18KLiquidity $52KComments 1in 1 months (Nov 8)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Green Party
59.5%
▲2.0
New Zealand First Party
28.0%
▼8.5
ACT New Zealand
12.0%
▲5.0
National Party
0.45%
–
Labour Party
0.15%
–
Te Pāti Māori
0.15%
–

Probability over time

Green Party
New Zealand First Party
ACT New Zealand
National Party
Labour Party
Te Pāti Māori
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.