New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

Most likely right now
New Zealand First Party
0.562%
PoliticsVol $85Total volume $14KLiquidity $73KComments 1in 2 months (Nov 7)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
New Zealand First Party
61.5%
0.5
Green Party
36.5%
ACT New Zealand
2.65%
1.1
National Party
2.20%
0.5
Te Pāti Māori
0.25%
Labour Party
0.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.