New Zealand Election: Turnout

Polymarket traders put "78-80%" at 36.5% on "New Zealand Election: Turnout". $72 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 8.

Most likely right now
78-80%
–37%
PoliticsVol $72Total volume $21KLiquidity $100Kin 28 days (Nov 8)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
78-80%
36.5%
–
76-78%
32.0%
–
80-82%
21.4%
–
84%+
6.15%
▼0.5
<76%
4.30%
–
82-84%
1.05%
–

Probability over time

78-80%
76-78%
80-82%
84%+
<76%
82-84%
02550751008/259/79/159/2310/110/910/11
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.