Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?

Most likely right now
Alfred Cannan
0.537%
PoliticsVol $223Total volume $38KLiquidity $48KComments 3in 1 months (Sep 24)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Alfred Cannan
37.0%
0.5
Chris Thomas
21.0%
0.5
Jane Poole-Wilson
16.5%
0.5
Lawrie Hooper
6.00%
Rob Callister
4.70%
Alex Allinson
2.45%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.