Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?
Polymarket traders put "Chris Thomas" at 45.5% on "Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. $281 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Aug 1.
Most likely right now
Chris Thomas
▼2.046%
PoliticsVol $281Total volume $56KLiquidity $47KComments 3in 10 months (Aug 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Chris Thomas
45.5%
▼2.0
Alfred Cannan
16.0%
▲0.5
Jane Poole-Wilson
13.5%
▲3.0
Rob Callister
7.15%
–
Alex Allinson
2.00%
–
Lawrie Hooper
1.05%
–
Probability over time
Chris Thomas
Alfred Cannan
Jane Poole-Wilson
Rob Callister
Alex Allinson
Lawrie Hooper
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
