Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Polymarket traders put "No Next Minister by Feb 28" at 37.0% on "Next Israeli Minister of Defense?". Up 1.8%p from yesterday. $144 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 19 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 1.
Most likely right now
No Next Minister by Feb 28
▲1.837%
PoliticsVol $144Total volume $218KLiquidity $26KComments 1in 4 months (Mar 1)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
No Next Minister by Feb 28
37.0%
▲1.8
Avigdor Lieberman
20.2%
▼6.0
Naftali Bennett
18.1%
▲0.5
Gadi Eizenkot
5.30%
▼0.6
Israel Katz
2.65%
–
Moshe Feiglin
1.50%
–
Ofer Winter
1.25%
▲0.5
Itamar Ben Gvir
1.00%
–
Yair Golan
0.90%
–
Benjamin Netanyahu
0.70%
–
Bezalel Smotrich
0.35%
–
Eli Cohen
0.25%
–
Yoram Cohen
0.25%
–
Matan Kahana
0.15%
–
Elazar Stern
0.15%
–
Yair Lapid
0.15%
–
Yoaz Hendel
0.15%
–
Benny Gantz
0.05%
–
Amir Ohana
0.05%
–
Probability over time
No Next Minister by Feb 28
Avigdor Lieberman
Naftali Bennett
Gadi Eizenkot
Israel Katz
Moshe Feiglin
2026-10-01 ~ 2026-11-15 · y-axis %
