Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

Polymarket traders put "No Next Minister by Feb 28" at 31.0% on "Next Israeli Minister of Defense?". $40 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 1.

Most likely right now
No Next Minister by Feb 28
–31%
PoliticsVol $40Total volume $40Liquidity $1.3Kin 5 months (Mar 1)
Current probability

Oct 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
No Next Minister by Feb 28
31.0%
–
Naftali Bennett
27.5%
–
Avigdor Lieberman
27.5%
–
Benny Gantz
24.5%
–
Gadi Eizenkot
23.5%
–
Yair Golan
23.5%
–
Israel Katz
22.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.