Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

Polymarket traders put "Yair Lapid" at 40.5% on "Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?". Up 4.0%p from yesterday. $578 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 15 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 1.

Most likely right now
Yair Lapid
▲4.041%
PoliticsVol $578Total volume $226KLiquidity $37KComments 5in 4 months (Mar 1)
Current probability

Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Yair Lapid
40.5%
▲4.0
No Next Minister by Feb 28
32.5%
▼4.0
Benjamin Netanyahu
6.15%
▲2.4
Naftali Bennett
4.40%
–
Gideon Sa’ar
2.40%
▼0.9
Gadi Eizenkot
2.15%
–
Amir Ohana
1.10%
–
Yossi Cohen
0.65%
–
Eli Cohen
0.65%
–
Israel Katz
0.60%
–
Yair Golan
0.50%
–
Avigdor Lieberman
0.40%
–
Ron Dermer
0.10%
–
Benny Gantz
0.05%
–
Yoram Cohen
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Yair Lapid
No Next Minister by Feb 28
Benjamin Netanyahu
Naftali Bennett
Gideon Sa’ar
Gadi Eizenkot
025507510010/110/910/1710/2511/211/1011/15
2026-10-01 ~ 2026-11-15 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.