Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

Polymarket traders put "Gideon Sa’ar" at 27.5% on "Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?". $60 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 1.

Most likely right now
Gideon Sa’ar
–28%
PoliticsVol $60Total volume $60Liquidity $1.4KComments 1in 5 months (Mar 1)
Current probability

Oct 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Gideon Sa’ar
27.5%
–
Avigdor Lieberman
25.0%
–
Israel Katz
24.0%
–
Benny Gantz
24.0%
–
No Next Minister by Feb 28
24.0%
–
Yossi Cohen
23.0%
–
Yair Lapid
22.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.