Next Prime Minister of Estonia

Polymarket traders put "Urmas Reinsalu" at 43.5% on "Next Prime Minister of Estonia". Up 9.0%p from yesterday. $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Urmas Reinsalu
▲9.044%
PoliticsVol $1.1KTotal volume $1.2KLiquidity $12Kin 1.1 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Urmas Reinsalu
43.5%
▲9.0
Mihhail Kõlvart
22.0%
▼6.0
Jonatan Vseviov
16.5%
▲2.0
Kristen Michal
15.0%
▲9.5
Martin Helme
8.15%
▲4.7
Lavly Perling
6.40%
▲3.4
Kristina Kallas
5.95%
▲2.9
Lauri Läänemets
4.45%
▲1.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.