Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Polymarket traders put "Chris Hipkins" at 50.5% on "Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?". $125 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 7.

Most likely right now
Chris Hipkins
51%
PoliticsVol $125Total volume $27KLiquidity $78Kin 2 months (Nov 7)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Chris Hipkins
50.5%
Christopher Luxon
44.5%
0.5
Nicola Willis
3.80%
Winston Peters
1.75%
Chlöe Swarbrick
1.35%
0.9
David Seymour
0.50%
Carmel Sepuloni
0.25%

Probability over time

Chris Hipkins
Christopher Luxon
Nicola Willis
Winston Peters
Chlöe Swarbrick
David Seymour
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.