Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
Polymarket traders put "Christopher Luxon" at 55.5% on "Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?". There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 8.
Most likely right now
Christopher Luxon
–56%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $41KLiquidity $148Kin 25 days (Nov 8)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Christopher Luxon
55.5%
–
Chris Hipkins
44.5%
–
Carmel Sepuloni
1.10%
–
Chlöe Swarbrick
0.85%
–
David Seymour
0.70%
–
Winston Peters
0.45%
–
Nicola Willis
0.35%
–
Probability over time
Christopher Luxon
Chris Hipkins
Carmel Sepuloni
Chlöe Swarbrick
David Seymour
Winston Peters
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
