Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2026" at 44.0% on "Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $64K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
▲1.044%
PoliticsVol $64KTotal volume $1.5MLiquidity $111Kin 2 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Nov 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
44.0%
▲1.0
November 30, 2026
25.0%
▼1.0

Probability over time

December 31, 2026
November 30, 2026
02550751009/2310/110/910/1710/2511/211/7
2026-09-23 ~ 2026-11-07 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.