Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2026" at 69.0% on "Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?". $80 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 31.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
69%
PoliticsVol $80Total volume $80Liquidity $418in 6 months (Mar 31)
Current probability

Sep 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
69.0%
September 30, 2026
61.0%
October 31, 2026
55.0%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.