Next US Senate Minority Leader?
Polymarket traders put "John Thune" at 87.5% on "Next US Senate Minority Leader?". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. $6.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 3.
Most likely right now
John Thune
▲2.588%
PoliticsVol $6.5KTotal volume $39KLiquidity $81Kin 2 months (Jan 3)
Current probability
Nov 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
John Thune
87.5%
▲2.5
John Barrasso
3.25%
▼1.6
Tom Cotton
1.30%
–
Patty Murray
0.70%
–
Rick Scott
0.40%
–
Mark Kelly
0.35%
–
Chuck Schumer
0.15%
–
Brian Schatz
0.05%
–
Cory Booker
0.05%
–
Probability over time
John Thune
John Barrasso
Tom Cotton
Patty Murray
Rick Scott
Mark Kelly
2026-09-24 ~ 2026-11-07 · y-axis %
