Next US Senate Minority Leader?

Polymarket traders put "John Thune" at 49.5% on "Next US Senate Minority Leader?". $26 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 3.

Most likely right now
John Thune
50%
PoliticsVol $26Total volume $26Liquidity $569in 3 months (Jan 3)
Current probability

Sep 24 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
John Thune
49.5%
Chuck Schumer
18.0%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.