NH-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 10-15%" at 28.5% on "NH-01 House Election Margin of Victory". $481 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 10-15%
–28%
PoliticsVol $481Total volume $9.7KLiquidity $58Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 10-15%
28.5%
–
Democrat 15-20%
20.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 5-10%
14.5%
▲0.9
Democrat 0-5%
12.5%
▲1.5
Democrat 20-25%
8.35%
▼10.9
Democrat 25%+
5.55%
–
Republican 5%+
4.10%
▼0.7
Republican 0-5%
2.00%
▼0.7
Probability over time
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 25%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
