NH-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 31.0% on "NH-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 6.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▼6.531%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $49Liquidity $710in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
31.0%
▼6.5
Democrat 10-15%
31.0%
▲3.5
Democrat 5-10%
29.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 0-5%
29.0%
▲1.5
Democrat 15-20%
28.0%
▼7.0
Democrat 25%+
26.5%
▲4.0
Republican 5%+
25.5%
▲4.0
Republican 0-5%
23.0%
▼13.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
