NH-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 31.0% on "NH-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 15.5%p from yesterday. $20 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▲15.531%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $12KLiquidity $98Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
31.0%
▲15.5
Democrat 10-15%
23.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 15-20%
22.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 5-10%
12.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 25-30%
11.8%
▼0.9
Democrat 0-5%
7.15%
▼4.8
Democrat 30%+
3.05%
▼1.6
Republican Wins
0.45%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
