NJ-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 33.5% on "NJ-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $72 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▲0.534%
PoliticsVol $72Total volume $12KLiquidity $149Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
33.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 30-35%
31.5%
▲5.5
Democrat 35-40%
24.5%
▲4.5
Democrat 20-25%
10.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 15-20%
7.00%
▼1.5
Republican Wins
6.00%
▲2.5
Democrat 0-5%
4.25%
▲3.3
Democrat 40-45%
1.85%
–
Democrat 5-15%
1.65%
–
Democrat 45%+
0.25%
▼0.7
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Republican Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
