NJ-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 39.0% on "NJ-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▲1.039%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.3Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
39.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 40-45%
26.5%
▼9.5
Democrat 25-30%
26.0%
▼10.0
Democrat 15-20%
25.5%
▼11.5
Democrat 45%+
25.0%
▼12.0
Democrat 0-5%
24.0%
▼9.0
Democrat 35-40%
23.5%
▼6.5
Democrat 5-15%
21.5%
▼14.0
Democrat 30-35%
19.5%
▼10.5
Republican Wins
17.5%
▼9.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
