NJ-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 6-9%" at 22.5% on "NJ-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $197 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 6-9%
▲1.523%
PoliticsVol $197Total volume $7.6KLiquidity $156Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 6-9%
22.5%
▲1.5
Republican 9-12%
19.5%
–
Republican 3-6%
18.5%
▼2.5
Republican 12-15%
18.0%
▲5.5
Democrat 0-3%
6.90%
–
Republican 18%+
6.40%
▲1.1
Republican 0-3%
5.65%
▼1.8
Republican 15-18%
2.55%
–
Democrat 3-6%
2.50%
–
Democrat 6%+
2.30%
–
Probability over time
Republican 6-9%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 12-15%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 18%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
