NJ-03 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Herb Conaway (D)" at 97.9% on "NJ-03 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Herb Conaway (D)
–98%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $40KLiquidity $31Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Herb Conaway (D)
97.9%
–
Michael McGuire (R)
1.35%
–
Probability over time
Herb Conaway (D)
Michael McGuire (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
