NJ-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 34.1% on "NJ-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
–34%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $14KLiquidity $89Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
34.1%
–
Democrat 20-25%
30.9%
–
Democrat 15-20%
15.0%
▲2.0
Democrat 10-15%
10.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 30-35%
8.85%
–
Republican Wins
5.55%
▲1.7
Democrat 5-10%
4.85%
–
Democrat 35%+
4.00%
–
Democrat 0-5%
2.05%
▲1.6
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 30-35%
Republican Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
