NJ-04 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Chris Smith (R)" at 95.8% on "NJ-04 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Chris Smith (R)
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $20KLiquidity $35Kin 19 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Chris Smith (R)
95.8%
–
Rachel Peace (D)
3.40%
–
Probability over time
Chris Smith (R)
Rachel Peace (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
