NJ-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 28.5% on "NJ-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 8.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▼8.528%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
28.5%
▼8.5
Democrat 15-20%
28.5%
▼11.0
Democrat 0-5%
28.5%
▼9.5
Republican Wins
27.5%
▲9.0
Democrat 25-30%
27.0%
▼10.0
Democrat 5-10%
22.5%
▼10.5
Democrat 30-35%
21.0%
▼12.5
Democrat 35%+
20.5%
▼15.5
Democrat 10-15%
20.5%
▼14.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
