NJ-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 31.6% on "NJ-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.9%p from yesterday. $586 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▼0.932%
PoliticsVol $586Total volume $16KLiquidity $105Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
31.6%
▼0.9
Democrat 20-25%
23.0%
▼10.5
Democrat 15-20%
20.5%
▲4.5
Democrat 5-10%
10.3%
▲3.3
Democrat 30-35%
7.75%
▼4.3
Democrat 10-15%
7.20%
▼1.6
Democrat 35%+
3.00%
–
Democrat 0-5%
0.45%
–
Republican Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 10-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
