NJ-11 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 31.5% on "NJ-11 House Election Margin of Victory". $104 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
–32%
PoliticsVol $104Total volume $6.6KLiquidity $112Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
31.5%
–
Democrat 15-20%
19.5%
▲2.0
Democrat 25-30%
16.4%
▼11.6
Democrat 30-35%
9.85%
▼2.2
Republican Wins
6.85%
▲4.8
Democrat 35%+
4.60%
–
Democrat 10-15%
4.00%
–
Democrat 0-5%
1.65%
–
Democrat 5-10%
1.60%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 30-35%
Republican Wins
Democrat 35%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
