NJ-11 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 10-15%" at 28.5% on "NJ-11 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 12.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 10-15%
▼12.028%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $20Liquidity $9.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 10-15%
28.5%
▼12.0
Democrat 35%+
27.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 20-25%
25.0%
▼8.5
Democrat 15-20%
23.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 0-5%
22.5%
▼15.0
Democrat 5-10%
21.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 30-35%
18.5%
▼7.0
Democrat 25-30%
18.5%
▼18.5
Republican Wins
3.75%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
