NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35-40%" at 33.1% on "NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $171 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
▲1.533%
PoliticsVol $171Total volume $9.3KLiquidity $42Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
33.1%
▲1.5
Democrat 30-35%
23.5%
–
Democrat 40-45%
23.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 20-25%
11.7%
▲5.8
Democrat 0-5%
10.9%
▲5.0
Democrat 45%+
9.35%
▲1.3
Democrat 25-30%
8.15%
▼1.4
Democrat 15-20%
4.95%
–
Democrat 5-15%
4.30%
▼0.9
Republican Wins
4.05%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 45%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
