NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 35.0% on "NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 5.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
▼5.535%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.3Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
35.0%
▼5.5
Democrat 40-45%
31.0%
▼4.5
Democrat 15-20%
29.0%
▼8.0
Democrat 0-5%
27.5%
▼6.5
Democrat 20-25%
26.0%
–
Democrat 25-30%
25.5%
▼11.5
Democrat 35-40%
21.5%
▼14.5
Democrat 45%+
19.0%
▼0.5
Republican Wins
13.5%
▼4.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
