NM-01 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Melanie Stansbury (D)" at 95.9% on "NM-01 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Melanie Stansbury (D)
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $44KLiquidity $33Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Melanie Stansbury (D)
95.9%
–
Didi Okpareke (R)
2.15%
–
Probability over time
Melanie Stansbury (D)
Didi Okpareke (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
