NM-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 30.0% on "NM-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $22 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▼0.530%
PoliticsVol $22Total volume $9.7KLiquidity $93Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
30.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 20-25%
25.5%
–
Democrat 30-35%
22.7%
–
Democrat 15-20%
17.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 40%+
7.40%
–
Democrat 10-15%
6.00%
–
Republican Wins
4.05%
–
Democrat 35-40%
2.70%
–
Democrat 0-10%
1.55%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 40%+
Democrat 10-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
