NM-02 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Gabe Vasquez (D)" at 96.4% on "NM-02 House Election Winner". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $217 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Gabe Vasquez (D)
▲0.596%
PoliticsVol $217Total volume $66KLiquidity $61Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Gabe Vasquez (D)
96.4%
▲0.5
Greg Cunningham (R)
3.20%
▼1.2

Probability over time

Gabe Vasquez (D)
Greg Cunningham (R)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.