NM-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 10-15%" at 31.5% on "NM-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 8.0%p from yesterday. $1.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 10-15%
▲8.032%
PoliticsVol $1.9KTotal volume $13KLiquidity $115Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 10-15%
31.5%
▲8.0
Democrat 15-20%
22.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 20-25%
17.0%
▼7.0
Democrat 5-10%
15.6%
▲3.0
Democrat 25%+
11.7%
▼1.0
Democrat 0-5%
8.25%
▲1.3
Republican 0-5%
4.45%
▼3.9
Republican 5%+
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 25%+
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
