NM-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 31.2% on "NM-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $40 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▲1.531%
PoliticsVol $40Total volume $7.6KLiquidity $127Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
31.2%
▲1.5
Democrat 25-30%
26.0%
▲1.5
Democrat 15-20%
20.5%
–
Democrat 5-10%
6.50%
–
Democrat 10-15%
5.25%
▼1.3
Democrat 0-5%
4.60%
–
Democrat 35%+
3.85%
▼0.7
Democrat 30-35%
3.20%
▼2.5
Republican Wins
0.20%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
