NV-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 35.5% on "NV-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▲2.036%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $167Liquidity $18Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
35.5%
▲2.0
Democrat 25%+
28.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 15-20%
27.5%
▲6.5
Democrat 0-5%
26.0%
–
Democrat 5-10%
24.0%
▲1.5
Democrat 10-15%
21.5%
–
Republican 0-5%
5.50%
▼8.5
Republican 5%+
3.35%
▼2.8
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 25%+
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 10-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
