NV-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 10-15%" at 28.0% on "NV-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 10-15%
▼2.528%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $5.5KLiquidity $107Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 10-15%
28.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 5-10%
22.5%
–
Democrat 15-20%
20.5%
–
Democrat 20-25%
18.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 0-5%
7.05%
–
Republican 5%+
6.60%
▲0.6
Republican 0-5%
3.75%
–
Democrat 25%+
1.10%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 0-5%
Republican 5%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
