NV-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 10-15%" at 34.0% on "NV-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.5%p from yesterday. $98 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 10-15%
▲5.534%
PoliticsVol $98Total volume $8.4KLiquidity $124Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 10-15%
34.0%
▲5.5
Democrat 15-20%
30.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 5-10%
15.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 20-25%
13.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 25%+
5.30%
–
Democrat 0-5%
5.05%
▲0.6
Republican 0-5%
2.45%
–
Republican 5%+
1.50%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 25%+
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
