NV-04 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Democratic Party" at 87.5% on "NV-04 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Democratic Party
88%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $4.2KLiquidity $28Kin 2 months (Nov 4)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democratic Party
87.5%
Republican Party
11.0%
0.5

Probability over time

Democratic Party
Republican Party
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.