NV-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25%+" at 31.5% on "NV-04 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 8.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25%+
▲8.032%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $101Liquidity $10Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25%+
31.5%
▲8.0
Democrat 20-25%
31.5%
▲2.5
Democrat 15-20%
31.5%
▲3.0
Democrat 10-15%
31.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 0-5%
24.5%
▲4.0
Democrat 5-10%
23.0%
▲0.5
Republican 5%+
10.0%
▲1.5
Republican 0-5%
6.75%
▲2.6
Probability over time
Democrat 25%+
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 5-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
