NV-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 15-20%" at 33.0% on "NV-04 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $34 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 15-20%
▲1.033%
PoliticsVol $34Total volume $10KLiquidity $150Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 15-20%
33.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 20-25%
22.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 10-15%
20.5%
–
Democrat 5-10%
11.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 25%+
10.4%
–
Democrat 0-5%
1.75%
–
Republican 5%+
1.05%
–
Republican 0-5%
0.30%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 25%+
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
