NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-3%" at 22.0% on "NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 0-3%
▲0.522%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $15KLiquidity $143Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 0-3%
22.0%
▲0.5
Republican 3-6%
21.9%
–
Democrat 0-3%
18.8%
–
Republican 6-9%
14.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 3-6%
5.80%
▼6.0
Republican 9-12%
5.00%
▲0.5
Republican 15-18%
4.45%
–
Republican 12-15%
3.80%
–
Republican 18%+
2.40%
–
Democrat 6%+
2.15%
–
Probability over time
Republican 0-3%
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 6-9%
Democrat 3-6%
Republican 9-12%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
