NY-02 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Andrew Garbarino (R)" at 86.5% on "NY-02 House Election Winner". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Andrew Garbarino (R)
▲0.587%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $18KLiquidity $57Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Andrew Garbarino (R)
86.5%
▲0.5
Patrick Halpin (D)
13.0%
–

Probability over time

Andrew Garbarino (R)
Patrick Halpin (D)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.