NY-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 6-9%" at 26.5% on "NY-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. $4 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 6-9%
▲2.527%
PoliticsVol $4Total volume $7.7KLiquidity $88Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 6-9%
26.5%
▲2.5
Republican 3-6%
20.5%
▲0.5
Republican 0-3%
19.5%
▲0.5
Republican 18-21%
13.3%
▲1.8
Republican 15-18%
12.7%
▲1.1
Republican 9-12%
6.50%
–
Republican 12-15%
5.00%
–
Democrat 0-3%
4.50%
▲0.5
Republican 21%+
3.95%
–
Democrat 3%+
3.60%
–
Probability over time
Republican 6-9%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 0-3%
Republican 18-21%
Republican 15-18%
Republican 9-12%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
