NY-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 9-12%" at 30.0% on "NY-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 5.0%p from yesterday. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 9-12%
▼5.030%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $515Liquidity $1.1Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 9-12%
30.0%
▼5.0
Republican 21%+
28.0%
▲1.0
Republican 15-18%
14.5%
–
Republican 6-9%
11.0%
–
Democrat 0-3%
9.00%
▼0.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
