NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 15-20%" at 35.5% on "NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory". $109 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 15-20%
–36%
PoliticsVol $109Total volume $14KLiquidity $125Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 15-20%
35.5%
–
Democrat 10-15%
25.0%
–
Democrat 20-25%
17.2%
–
Democrat 5-10%
9.50%
–
Democrat 0-5%
6.15%
–
Democrat 25%+
5.30%
–
Republican 0-5%
3.35%
–
Republican 5%+
2.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 25%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
