NY-04 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Laura Gillen (D)" at 90.5% on "NY-04 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Laura Gillen (D)
–91%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $15KLiquidity $64Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Laura Gillen (D)
90.5%
–
Jeanine Driscoll (R)
9.70%
–
Probability over time
Laura Gillen (D)
Jeanine Driscoll (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
