NY-04 House Election Winner

Most likely right now
Democratic Party
87%
PoliticsVol $876Total volume $2.8KLiquidity $21Kin 2 months (Nov 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democratic Party
86.5%
Republican Party
13.5%
1.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.