NY-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 65-70%" at 26.0% on "NY-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 10.0%p from yesterday. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 65-70%
▼10.026%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $34Liquidity $9.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 65-70%
26.0%
▼10.0
Democrat 60-65%
26.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 0-30%
26.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 45-50%
25.0%
▼6.0
Democrat 70%+
19.0%
▼10.0
Republican Wins
0.70%
▼17.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
