NY-06 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Grace Meng (D)" at 97.9% on "NY-06 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Grace Meng (D)
–98%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $27KLiquidity $33Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Grace Meng (D)
97.9%
–
Joseph Chou (R)
0.10%
–
Probability over time
Grace Meng (D)
Joseph Chou (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
