NY-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35-40%" at 34.0% on "NY-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 11.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
▲11.534%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $200Liquidity $2.1Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
34.0%
▲11.5
Democrat 45%+
31.0%
▲6.0
Democrat 5-15%
27.0%
–
Democrat 0-5%
27.0%
▲2.0
Democrat 30-35%
26.5%
▼2.5
Democrat 20-25%
26.5%
▼2.5
Democrat 40-45%
24.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 15-20%
22.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 25-30%
21.0%
▼4.5
Republican Wins
19.5%
▼3.5
Probability over time
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 45%+
Democrat 5-15%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 20-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
