NY-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 36.1% on "NY-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 4.4%p from yesterday. $361 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▲4.436%
PoliticsVol $361Total volume $11KLiquidity $119Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
36.1%
▲4.4
Democrat 30-35%
26.8%
▲1.6
Democrat 35-40%
17.5%
–
Democrat 20-25%
15.5%
–
Democrat 40-45%
11.9%
▲3.1
Democrat 0-5%
3.55%
–
Republican Wins
2.80%
▼5.2
Democrat 45%+
1.90%
▲0.7
Democrat 15-20%
1.65%
–
Democrat 5-15%
0.35%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
