NY-07 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Claire Valdez (D)" at 96.8% on "NY-07 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Claire Valdez (D)
–97%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $31KLiquidity $29Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Claire Valdez (D)
96.8%
–
Melvin Rivera (R)
0.75%
–
Probability over time
Claire Valdez (D)
Melvin Rivera (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
