NY-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 60-65%" at 36.0% on "NY-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Unchanged from yesterday. $465 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 60-65%
–36%
PoliticsVol $465Total volume $11KLiquidity $163Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 60-65%
36.0%
–
Democrat 55-60%
31.3%
–
Democrat 65-70%
14.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 40-45%
13.0%
▲5.6
Democrat 50-55%
8.50%
–
Democrat 70%+
7.75%
▲6.9
Democrat 45-50%
3.45%
–
Democrat 30-40%
0.15%
–
Democrat 0-30%
0.15%
–
Republican Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 70%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
