NY-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-40%" at 33.0% on "NY-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30-40%
▼1.033%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.3Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30-40%
33.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 70%+
31.5%
▲1.5
Democrat 55-60%
29.5%
▼7.5
Democrat 45-50%
28.5%
▼9.5
Democrat 50-55%
27.0%
▲1.5
Democrat 65-70%
24.0%
▼7.0
Democrat 60-65%
24.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 0-30%
23.0%
▼8.0
Republican Wins
16.8%
▲14.1
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
