NY-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 55-60%" at 30.0% on "NY-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.0%p from yesterday. $215 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 55-60%
▲3.030%
PoliticsVol $215Total volume $13KLiquidity $69Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 55-60%
30.0%
▲3.0
Democrat 60-65%
27.5%
–
Democrat 50-55%
13.6%
▼1.6
Democrat 45-50%
9.05%
–
Democrat 65-70%
6.50%
▼0.5
Democrat 30-40%
6.05%
▲1.3
Democrat 40-45%
4.60%
–
Democrat 0-30%
3.80%
▲0.5
Democrat 70%+
3.50%
–
Republican Wins
0.50%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 30-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
