NY-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 55-60%" at 41.5% on "NY-09 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $5 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 55-60%
▼0.542%
PoliticsVol $5Total volume $13KLiquidity $186Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 55-60%
41.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 60-65%
22.5%
–
Democrat 50-55%
20.5%
–
Democrat 45-50%
8.50%
–
Democrat 40-45%
4.90%
–
Democrat 65%+
2.95%
–
Democrat 0-25%
0.65%
–
Democrat 35-40%
0.60%
▼1.4
Republican Wins
0.25%
–
Democrat 25-35%
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 65%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
