NY-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 45-50%" at 28.0% on "NY-09 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 6.0%p from yesterday. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 45-50%
▼6.028%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $227Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 45-50%
28.0%
▼6.0
Democrat 0-25%
27.5%
▼3.5
Democrat 40-45%
26.5%
▼7.5
Democrat 25-35%
25.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 50-55%
24.5%
▼6.5
Democrat 60-65%
22.0%
▼9.0
Republican Wins
8.50%
▲2.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
