NY-10 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 75-80%" at 31.0% on "NY-10 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. $20 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 75-80%
▲2.031%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $9.9KLiquidity $117Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 75-80%
31.0%
▲2.0
Democrat 65-70%
25.5%
–
Democrat 70-75%
23.5%
▲2.0
Democrat 60-65%
6.45%
–
Democrat 80-85%
3.45%
▼1.0
Democrat 0-45%
2.80%
–
Democrat 85%+
2.60%
–
Democrat 55-60%
2.00%
–
Democrat 45-55%
1.40%
–
Republican Wins
0.35%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 75-80%
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 70-75%
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 80-85%
Democrat 0-45%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
