NY-11 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Nicole Malliotakis (R)" at 94.7% on "NY-11 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Nicole Malliotakis (R)
–95%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $35KLiquidity $31Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Nicole Malliotakis (R)
94.7%
–
Michael DeCillis (D)
5.00%
▲0.5
Probability over time
Nicole Malliotakis (R)
Michael DeCillis (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
