NY-11 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 35.0% on "NY-11 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▼1.035%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $8.4KLiquidity $98Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
35.0%
▼1.0
Republican 15-20%
32.5%
▲0.5
Republican 5-10%
15.0%
▲1.5
Republican 20-25%
10.0%
–
Republican 25-30%
5.40%
–
Republican 30%+
4.35%
▼1.1
Republican 0-5%
4.25%
–
Democrat Wins
2.95%
–
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
