NY-12 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Democratic Party" at 95.7% on "NY-12 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democratic Party
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $33KLiquidity $27Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democratic Party
95.7%
–
Republican Party
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
