NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 65-70%" at 31.5% on "NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.5%p from yesterday. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 65-70%
▼3.532%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 65-70%
31.5%
▼3.5
Democrat 55-60%
28.5%
▼4.5
Democrat 0-45%
28.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 45-55%
27.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 70-75%
26.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 85%+
26.0%
▼14.5
Republican Wins
19.5%
▲2.1
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
