NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 60-65%" at 23.7% on "NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.4%p from yesterday. $173 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 60-65%
▲3.424%
PoliticsVol $173Total volume $9.8KLiquidity $74Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 60-65%
23.7%
▲3.4
Democrat 65-70%
20.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 70-75%
19.5%
▼11.5
Democrat 75-80%
16.0%
▲0.9
Republican Wins
12.3%
▲5.5
Democrat 80-85%
9.95%
▲6.2
Democrat 85%+
6.45%
–
Democrat 55-60%
5.45%
▼2.9
Democrat 0-45%
4.00%
▲0.8
Democrat 45-55%
0.60%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 70-75%
Democrat 75-80%
Republican Wins
Democrat 80-85%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
