NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 60-65%" at 29.0% on "NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.0%p from yesterday. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 60-65%
▲5.029%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $47Liquidity $778in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 60-65%
29.0%
▲5.0
Democrat 85%+
26.5%
▼14.0
Democrat 70-75%
25.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 80-85%
22.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 0-45%
19.5%
▼11.5
Republican Wins
3.20%
▼0.8
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
