NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 65-70%" at 43.0% on "NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 10.5%p from yesterday. $519 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 65-70%
▲10.543%
PoliticsVol $519Total volume $21KLiquidity $166Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 65-70%
43.0%
▲10.5
Democrat 70-75%
25.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 60-65%
18.0%
▲5.5
Democrat 75-80%
11.5%
▼4.1
Democrat 80-85%
2.75%
▼1.7
Democrat 55-60%
2.75%
–
Democrat 85%+
1.45%
▼1.7
Democrat 0-45%
1.10%
–
Democrat 45-55%
0.35%
–
Republican Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 70-75%
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 75-80%
Democrat 80-85%
Democrat 55-60%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
